Study: Obama Re-elected thanks to Strong Turnout by Black Voter
In 2012, blacks voted more than any other group of minorities and by most measures, for the first time, surpassed the turnout of white voters.
This reflects the deeply polarized 2012 presidential election where Barack Obama was strongly supported by the black voter and many white voters remained at home.
If people had voted in November of last year in rates similar to the election in 2004, when the turnout of black voters was below the current historic numbers, Mitt Romney, the Republican Presidential nominee would have been victorious by a slim margin, according to new analysis conducted by an independent group.
Exit polling and census data show that blacks and whites remain the largest two racial groups of voters that are eligible to vote for at least another decade. The heavy turnout of black voters last year came despite many concerns over how much effect the voter id laws would have on the minority vote and was outweighed by the want to have the first black U.S. president re-elected.
One demographer from the Brookings Institution analyzed the elections of 2012 and used census data about eligible voters and their turnout as well as the exit polling from November. His analysis used population projections in order to estimate the eligible voters that would be in areas by race group to 2030.
The findings found a tipping point for the black voter, who for much of the history in the U.S. were disenfranchised and then barred from voting until the 1965 Voting Rights Act.